According to Dark Reading, an Omdia analyst has laid out four key predictions for identity security in 2026. The analysis warns that as AI agents move from experiment to production, we’ll see high-profile data breaches and fraud originating from them, due to inadequate security guardrails. It also forecasts that Identity Governance and Administration (IGA) adoption will finally take off in mid-market organizations with 500-19,000 employees, who manage an average of 1,062 apps. Furthermore, identity security teams will collaborate more closely with Security Operations Centers as tools like Identity Security Posture Management and Identity Threat Detection and Response see wider deployment. Finally, the identity security stack will continue to consolidate around platforms, even as identity teams currently use an average of 11 different tools to do their jobs.
The Inevitable AI Agent Breach
Here’s the thing about AI agents: the real business value isn’t in a safe, walled garden. It’s in letting them loose on your core business processes and applications. And that’s exactly where the risk is. The prediction that we’ll see high-profile breaches from these agents in 2026 isn’t just fear-mongering—it’s practically a guarantee. Companies are going to rush these tools into production to chase efficiency, and they’re going to screw up the permissions and the guardrails. It’s the classic cycle of innovation outpacing security. The recommendation to get ahead of this with visibility and governance now is spot-on, because once that first big breach hits, every CISO is going to get a panicked call from the board.
IGA Finally Goes Mainstream
This is a huge shift. For years, IGA was the expensive, complex domain of giant enterprises with massive IT budgets and compliance teams. The mid-market was priced out. But the analyst’s point about new innovation changing the economics is critical. If vendors have finally cracked the code on rapid, low-consultant onboarding, then the ROI equation flips completely. Managing over a thousand apps manually? That’s a nightmare. Suddenly, a tool that automates that isn’t a “nice-to-have” compliance cost—it’s a massive operational necessity and a security imperative. This could be one of the healthiest trends for mid-market security posture we’ve seen in a while.
When Identity and the SOC Become Best Friends
Eleven person-hours to deal with a single critical identity alert? That’s insane. No wonder adversaries just log in instead of hacking in—the cleanup is so slow they can have a field day. The push for ISPM and ITDR tools is really about turning identity from a slow, governance-focused function into a real-time, operational security layer. But the tool is only part of the solution. The bigger change is cultural. Getting identity pros and SOC analysts to collaborate closely breaks down old silos. It means the people who understand the entitlements are helping the people watching the alerts, speeding everything up. That’s how you actually shrink your attack surface and mean it.
The Platform vs. Point Solution Tug-of-War
This is the eternal debate in enterprise tech, and it’s hitting identity hard. On one hand, using an average of 11 different tools is chaotic, expensive, and creates visibility gaps. Consolidating onto a platform that can do IGA, PAM, and access management makes a ton of sense for streamlining operations. But on the other hand, the cutting-edge problems—like deepfake mitigation or securing those rogue AI agents—aren’t going to be solved by the big platform vendors first. They’ll be solved by nimble specialists. So identity leaders are stuck in the middle. Do they prune the stack for efficiency, or bring in a new best-of-breed tool for that emerging threat? The answer, frustratingly, is probably both. You consolidate where you can, but you leave room and budget for the innovators solving tomorrow’s headaches today.
